College Football Week 3: Four Free Picks with VALUE!

By: @DawgHasPicks

9/26/22

College Football Week 3: 5 Free Picks with VALUE

As we get into Week 3 of the college football season, we begin to really see the identity, characters and ceilings of a lot of these collegiate teams. In this article, we are going to look at five picks this Saturday that are due to cash out. With that being said, lets get to the picks:

  1. CFB | GEORGIA @ SOUTH CAROLINA | 09/17 | 12:00 PM EDT

I anticipate a sportsmanlike three-hour affair between Kirby Smart and his former assistant Shane Beamer in this matchup, since Georgia’s advantages on both sides of the ball offer a blatantly obvious lopsided game between two SEC East foes. South Carolina’s offensive line struggled to generate an advantage against Georgia State and Arkansas, so I believe they will suffer against the Bulldogs’ ferocious defense, and given that advantage, I could see Kirby Smart using this matchup to get good reps in for the Georgia rushing game. A fast-paced second half wherein Georgia has a sizable lead should hold us under the total.

THE PICK: U55

2. CFB | TROY @ APP. ST. | 09/17 | 3:30 PM EDT

Jon Sumrall, the Troy Trojans’ first-year coach, is a former Troy assistant under Neal Brown who returned to the program after working on the defensive staff at Kentucky. The Trojans are motivated to achieve the same thing that the Wildcats did by building a strong defense. They played well against Ole Miss in Week 1 before blowing away Alabama A&M last week. Appalachian State has dominated this series with four straight blowout victories, but Saturday could very well end up being a Mountaineer disappointment after their huge upset of Texas A&M last weekend. Expect a tenacious Troy squad to fight to the nail in this game.

THE PICK: Troy +13.5

3. CFB | KANSAS @ HOUSTON | 09/17 | 4:00 PM EDT

Early indications indicate that Lance Leipold may be the appropriate coach to revive the dead Jayhawks program. They are coming off a headline-grabbing 55-42 triumph over West Virginia, when they erased a 14-point deficit in the second half to run away with the W. Houston, on the other hand, rallied from a 14-point disadvantage only to fall short in overtime against Texas Tech. Although the Jayhawks should fight, a letdown is likely, and we’re getting very good value on a number that has dropped from -10. Saturday is a big motivational day for Houston as well.
THE PICK:  HOUSTON -8.5

4. CFB | OLE MISS @ GEORGIA TECH | 09/17 | 3:30 PM EDT

The Rebels will have quarterbacks Jaxon Dart and Luke Altmyer ready on The Flats, and the Rebels’ 6.64 yards per play average in the midst of an early-season quarterback duel is more than enough to consider this one a blowout waiting to happen. With 31 plays of 10 yards or more allowed, the Yellow Jackets are ranked 11th in the ACC in allowing plays that long. Based on how Lane Kiffin’s offense works, that’s highly concerning.

THE PICK: MISS -17

Week 1: Free MNF PICK!

9/11/22

By: @DawgGotPicks

9:35 PM EDT

Week 1: Free MNF PICK!

As we all know, Seattle coach Pete Carroll knows a little something about the opposing QB. 

After all, Russell Wilson played for him for a decade. 

The Seahawks, who were 12th in points allowed a year ago, will hope to find a plan to keep the Broncos, who were 23rd in scoring, at bay. 

When it comes to the offense contributing to the under hitting, QB Geno Smith takes over. That is clearly a significant drop-off from a QB of the caliber of Russell Wilson. 

Carroll, a lifelong supporter of the ground game, will adhere to his origins and keep the clock ticking.

The Pick: Under 44.



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CFB Week 2: Four Free VALUE Picks

By: OutOfSightSports

9/7/22

CFB Week 2: Four Free VALUE Picks

The second week of the College Football season is among us, and although this weekend of games does not stretch from Thursday to Monday like last week did, we definitely have some intriguing matchups on our hands this weekend. In this article, we are going to be looking at four different FREE picks that we believe have extreme upside, value, and will cover. With that being said, lets get to out first matchup this Friday….

LOUISVILLE @ UCF | 09/09 | 7:30 PM EDT

I’ll be candid, I have no explanation of why the spread isn’t two touchdowns in favor of UCF. John Rhys Plumlee, who led the SEC in rushing in 2019, is the ideal quarterback for Gus Malzahn’s run-first, up-tempo system.

Last week, the Cardinals were trounced by Syracuse by a result of 31-7 after amassing just 334 total yards. To stay in the game, Louisville will have to turn this Friday night matchup into a shootout, but there is very little indication that the Cards can do so.

THE PICK: UCF -5.5 (-110)

DUKE @ NORTHWESTERN |09/10 | 12:00 PM EDT

The O/U for this game is 58.5?! 

Northwestern’s redemption tour from their 2021’s failures has so far produced one satisfying W, a comeback victory over Nebraska in Ireland. The Wildcats now play a Duke team that routed them a season ago.

The Cats are a different team now though, managed by first-year HC Mike Elko, a former Texas A&M and Notre Dame defensive coordinator.

Following a shutout against Temple, Elko’s Wildcats are expected to perform well on defense primarily, as that is his expertise.

Although this Northwestern team displayed some hope against Nebraska, I think the value seems to be intrusting both defenses to execute effectively.

THE PICK: U58.5 (-110)

ALABAMA @ TEXAS | 09/10 | 12:00 PM EDT

The Longhorns’ 52-10 victory over a bad Louisiana-Monroe squad last weekend must be taken into account. The Warhawks lacked the talent to expose Texas’ vulnerabilities. No. 1 Alabama, on the contrary, absolutely does. Will Anderson and co. should prey on the young offensive line of the Longhorns, which features two true freshmen, slow running back Bijan Robinson, meaning Bama will force rookie QB Quinn Ewers to beat them through the air if they want a shot at winning.

Bryce Young, the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, will face a defense that had only 20 sacks last season and gave up too many big plays on the back end. Texas is currently on its journey back, but it won’t be close on Saturday.

THE PICK: ALABAMA -20 (-110)

TENNESSEE @ PITT | 09/10 | 3:30 PM EDT

This Tennessee offense has the ability to be effective, quick, and dangerous. With that being said, I believe in the Panthers D-Line that is eight or nine players deep.

This will be pivotal in a game where the depth up front for Tennessee will be certainly challenged.

On the other side, the Panthers will do everything they can to wear down a suspect Tennessee defense, and at the very least, keep Tennessee’s offense on the sidelines. Take the under.

THE PICK: U66.5 (-110)

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Five SOLID Late-Round RBs to target with value: Fantasy Football 2022

By: OutOfSightSports

9/4/22

Five SOLID Late-Round RBs to target with Value: Fantasy Football 2022

In fantasy football, the majority of us can agree that the most vital position to fill while constructing a championship-winning roster is the running back position. With injuries and the diminishing shelf-lives of premier running backs shortening, it is always a smart idea to have competent back-ups who can put points on the board if your main bell-cow RB is out. In this article, we’ll look at five running backs that are often available in fantasy football drafts in Round 10 or after. This season, each back on this list is going to see significant playing time, and will more than likely get opportunities to emerge into RB1s.

Disclaimer: This list is in no order

Darrell Henderson, Los Angeles Rams (ADP 11.4)

With Cam Akers on the IR, Henderson stepped in as the Rams’ starting RB in 2021. He had a stellar first eight games of the season, posting double-digit carries in all of them, and finding the end-zone 7-times during this stretch. The RB appeared to be one of the league’s best fantasy running backs early in 2020 and 2021, before being hampered by injuries both seasons.

The 24-year-old took only 23 offensive snaps in the final six regular-season games and didn’t play in the first three rounds of the playoffs. He returned in time for the Super Bowl though, where he was utilized as a third-down back, while fellow RB Cam Akers took a majority of his snaps during earlier downs.

The Rams appear to be comfortable with their two-back committee heading into the 2022 season. Sony Michel left in free agency for Miami, and the Rams only staked a fifth-round pick to replace him. Henderson could play on passing downs while also receiving some carries, just like the Super Bowl. When this is his job, he should only be in fantasy lineups as an emergency.

Nonetheless, Henderson should be drafted for the weeks when he does not have that role. Henderson could reclaim his starting spot for the Rams if he outperforms Akers or if Akers is injured. When healthy, Henderson is one of the most powerful handcuffs, making him a must-start if Akers spends any time as the starter.

Jamaal Williams, Detroit Lions (ADP: 13.2)

As we know, Williams spent the first four seasons of his career in Green Bay with Aaron Jones. Despite missing two games, he finished as RB35 in 2019, whereas Jones finished as RB2. Jones missed two games in 2020 and Williams capitalized, finishing in the top 10 amongst fantasy RBs both weeks.

As we all know, he signed with the Lions last offseason joining D’Andre Swift as the two main backs in D-Town. During games in which both players played and were not sidelined, their carry splits were EXACTLY 50/50. Although  Swift had more explosive runs, which led the rookie to have slightly more rushing yards, Williams was more consistent on a run-by-run basis, that led to a higher rushing grade, according to PFF.

A healthy offensive line should certainly help both backs boost their productivity. Last season, the Lions never had all five of their offensive lineman healthy and available at the same time. Only a season later, the Lions find themselves in a completely different situation up front on offense, featuring a stout line that could be one of the best in the NFL,  which will help open up holes for both players.

Williams does have some stand-alone value and potential as well, notably against weak run defenses. The better the Lions operate as a unit, the more they will be able to run the ball, which will favor Williams above Swift. If Swift ever gets injured, Williams should be the team’s clear every-down back and will be a must-start in fantasy.

Jerrick McKinnon, Kansas City Chiefs (ADP: 18.6)

McKinnon signed with Kansas City in 2021 and managed to earn one of the squad’s three RB spots. During the first month of the season, he was limited to single-digit snaps each game before Clyde Edwards-Helaire sprained his MCL. He finally started playing, but he wasn’t receiving many opportunities to touch the ball.

Once Edwards-Helaire recovered, McKinnon missed several games due to a hamstring problem that landed him on IR. After McKinnon returned, CEH sustained another injury (shoulder) and was sidelined once again.  McKinnon was then promoted to the starting lineup when backup Darrel Williams experienced a toe injury. Over three playoff games, he ran for 150 yards on 34 attempts and hauled in 14 receptions for 165 yards respectively.

McKinnon stiff-arming Jordan Poyer

Kansas City was content with Williams leaving for Arizona in free agency after McKinnon’s postseason success. The Chiefs played their starters frequently during the preseason, suggesting that McKinnon will indeed be their third-down back this season.

Kansas City is uncertain who will back up Edwards-Helaire on early downs. Isiah Pacheco, a seventh-round rookie, made headlines during the preseason playing with the first team, while new signing Ronald Jones played snaps in the final preseason game. McKinnon has so far displayed what he can do for the Chiefs in early-down situations.

If he can play on some early downs as well as third downs, he might start having performances similar to the ones he had in last year’s playoffs. Selecting running backs in high-scoring offenses featuring fluid backfields is always a wise choice. McKinnon is extremely affordable ADP wise as a result of Pacheco’s rise, but adding him to your roster later on in your draft will most likely reap some benefits.

Kenneth Gainwell, Philadelphia Eagles (ADP: 11.1)

The 23-year-old running back spent the 2021 season in Philly as part of a four-man committee, largely as a receiving back. He had at least five targets in five games, including their final two games of the season, and had one of the highest threat rates in recent memory for a rookie running back.
He had at least five targets in five games, including their final two games of the season, and had one of the highest threat rates in recent memory for a rookie running back.
Despite being a pass-catching back, he logged double-digit carries three times a season ago, two times during blowout wins when the Eagles were missing their other backs, and the other in Week 18, when the team rested its starters. This season, he could take on a prominent role in the run game.

Outside of an undrafted rookie, the Eagles have not re-signed Jordan Howard or acquired any new players to put in their backfield. Gainwell is the Eagles’ sole back under contract through 2022, so they’ll need to see what they’ve got in him prior to next season. Philadelphia also plans to pass more this season, meaning there will be more plays in which Gainwell is the likely the running back in the formation. Miles Sanders is the team’s top rusher, but he’s been one of the league’s least efficient, with the fourth-lowest PFF run grade among the 30 backs with 400 or more carries over the last three seasons — two of the three running backs with a lower grade are already out the league.

Philadelphia must undergo a change.

Gainwell is unlikely to become a full-time three-down back, but several running backs have had top-10 fantasy seasons with high target shares and averages of just less than 10 touches per game, which is certainly within Gainwell’s range of outcomes in 2022.

Khalil Herbert, Chicago Bears (ADP: 13.0)

The 2021 sixth-round draft pick was the Bears’ third back on the depth chart starting last season, but he only played nine offensive snaps mostly in garbage time over the first month, before David Montgomery landed on IR for five weeks. Herbert and Damien Williams split time in Week 5, and Williams missed Week 6 due to COVID-19, allowing Herbert a chance to impress. Herbert generated 38.2 PPR points in the two weeks following for any fantasy manager bold enough to start him. By mid-season, Montgomery had returned as the stater, but Herbert remained ahead of Williams on the depth chart and took more reps.

On a small sample size, the 5-foot-9 back looked excellent.  There is potential danger that he will regress with more playing time, but the goal of the mid-to-late rounds in fantasy drafts is to take a gamble on a player who has played well in a limited amount of time.

Herbert’s fantasy value has improved this summer, as the Bears let Williams go to the Atlanta Falcons in free agency and only allocated a sixth-round pick in addition to a waiver wire pickup that will fight for the third spot on the depth chart. The Bears hired defensive-minded head coach Matt Eberflus this offseason as well, while former Green Bay Packers quarterback coach Luke Getsy was appointed as the Bears new passing game coordinator. The Packers utilized a split backfield in Getsy’s prior time with the team, and it might not be a bad idea to implement it in Chicago. Montgomery’s 1,401 offensive snaps over the last two seasons are the second-most for a running back.

If Chicago takes this approach, Herbert may be given more rushing opportunities while Montgomery manages the passing downs, offering Herbert some fantasy value every week. If Montgomery had been injured, Herbert would be a fantasy starter yet again, with very little competition from backups.

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Free MLB PICK 8/22/22 | Marlins @ Athletics | 9:40 PM EDT

8/22/22

By: OOSSports

Free MLB PICK 8/22/22 | Marlins @ Athletics | 9:40 PM EDT

It’s a new week, that means it’s time for a new and valuable pick to start off the week. Tonight, we are rolling with a baseball pick between maybe the two worst offenses in the entire league, and you will see why.

MLB | MIA @ OAK | 9:40 PM EDT

Some bookmakers have this contest at 7 runs, while others have it listed it at 7.5, but I prefer it at 7.5 (under is the -120 favorite) and I am predicting a 2-3, 3-4 type of game max between these two offensively incompetent squads. The Fish score four runs so rarely that whenever they do, they start celebrating as like they just won it all.

Pic via Fansided

Edward Cabrera (1.78 ERA) has not yielded a run in his last three previous starts on the bump. His scoreless streak of 14.2 innings is the longest by a Marlins rook since Henderson Alvarez recorded 3 consecutive scoreless starts. Oakland has scored fewer runs than only Detroit. I imagine there is going to be a lot of empty seats at tonight’s matchup.

THE PICK: UNDER 7.5 RUNS

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ESPN releases their Top 50 Greatest CFB Defenses Ever, leaving many surprised

7/29/22

By: OutOfSightSports

ESPN releases their Top 50 Greatest CFB Defenses Ever, leaving many suprised

ESPN released a list of their 50 greatest college football defenses ever, and it might surprise you. The rankings, lists and comparisons that come out of ESPN, whether it is hockey, baseball, NBA hoops or even softball are always a little questioning.

Here is an example. This is an old article of them suggesting that Victor Oladipo could potentially be THE NEXT AIR JORDAN. Although Oladipo is a good player who has been robbed due to injury, the idea is preposterous alone:

Yes, that is real story. They got THAT caught up in the hype that they were insane enough try to push such a ludicrous agenda like that on their viewers. Anyways, back to the so-called list. I’m not even going to try to start on why this list is wrong, I will have to have a podcast for that. ESPN MAYBE got the first one right. A huge MAYBE.

Here is the top 10, and I will put the story to the whole article with all 50 rankings at the bottom.

ESPN’s Top 10 #CFB defenses of all time

1. 2016 BAMA

2. 2017 BAMA

3. 1956 OLE MISS

4. 1959 LSU

5. 1965 MSU

6. 1939 TENN

7. 2011 BAMA

8. 2011 LSU

9. 1972 MICH

10. 1986 OU

Who got snubbed? Who is overrated? Leave a comment below and let me know what they got wrong or what they got right!

Click HERE to see the full list from ESPN.

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Free MLB Pick 7/16/22

By: @OOSSportsbook

7/16/22

Free MLB Pick 7/16/22 Mariners vs Rangers

Even though I realize the Mariners are playing outstanding baseball and that’s why they’ve won 12 straight games, you’re getting a great deal on the Rangers for that very reason.

After giving up four earned runs in his last two starts, Mariners starter Logan Gilbert hasn’t gone past six innings since May.

Based on the advanced statistics and numbers, I would take the Rangers to cover.

THE PICK: RANGERS ML (+118)

Bridges likely to never play again, and rightfully so

7/15/22

By: OutOfSightSports

Bridges likely to never play again, and rightfully so

Jeff Taylor pictured above

Jeffrey Taylor received a 24-game suspension for domestic violence in 2014, which is the longest in NBA history to this day.

He earned it by doing the following:

“According to the NBA press release, Taylor and the woman got into an argument after a night of heavy drinking, which prompted other hotel guests to summon security.

Then it escalated, so Taylor pushed her into the corridor. She then fell to the ground and hit her head on a different door, causing her to become unconscious.

Taylor also slapped her arm and punched a hole in the wall near his hotel room, according to the press statement he sent.

As reported by the police, the woman received scratches and a bump on her head, but did not seek medical attention.

Miles is in a similar boat, but much worst. This isn’t tied to binge drinking. Also this was his wife, not his girlfriend,

Among other things, he is accused of breaking her nose, wrist, and choking her. (which is a felony itself).

Not to mention, it’s 2022. His case involves his wife posting the photos on social media for the entire world to see.

A disturbing video of his son’s facetime discussion is at the heart of this case as well, and it’s a tough watch to say the least.

The situation for Miles Bridges is far more serious.

Cancel culture wasn’t nearly as prevalent in 2014 as well.

Certainly Miles Bridges will miss the entire 2022-2023 NBA season, and he probably will be in prison instead of the NBA for a pretty long time.

Potential Disaster on the Horizon Days before MLB All-Star Game

By: OutOfSightSports

7/11/22

Potential Disaster on the Horizon Days before MLB All-Star Game

Just days before the MLB All-Star game, concession workers at Dodger Stadium have threatened to go on strike. In a news release Monday, it was announced that 99% of the employees were in favor of going on strike at any moment. Yikes.

A strike could pose a huge problem for Dodger Stadium as it is days away from its first All-Star Game in 42 years. Dodger Stadium employs nearly 1,500 food servers, bartenders, suite attendants, cooks and dishwashers. Unite Here Local 11, a union representing the concession workers, has not provided specifics on the workers’ demands but hopes to negotiate a fair new union contract.

A fan at an iconic “Dodger Dog” concession stand.

Unite Here Local 11’s co-president, Susan Minato, wrote in a statement, “Stadium workers are proud of the role they play to bring fans the best game experience possible. They are the backbone of our tourism and sports industry, yet many struggle to stay housed and to make ends meet. They often live with economic uncertainty because the quality of jobs vary stadium to stadium. No worker should have to continue living like this.”

Freddie Freeman

Minato makes a valid point. Without concession workers, the upcoming All-Star game weekend is going to be a disaster. Hopefully, Levy Restaurants, the Chicago-based company that employs the concession workers, will do what is right so the game can go on.

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Tyreek Hill Dolphins Hype Video 2022

Phillies vs Cardinals Free MLB Pick 7/11/22

By: @OOSSPORTSBOOK

7/11/22

Phillies vs Cardinals Free MLB Pick 7/11/22

The Cardinals are looking for a split in this four-game series and I like their chances. In terms of defensive runs saved (-21), Philly is ranked 28th, while the Cards are tied for seventh place in the league (+30).

Pic via: Redbird Rants

With a low-scoring game expected, take the better defensive team as a home underdog. After the game, the Phillies will depart to Canada as well. Also, the injury of MVP hopeful Bryce Harper certainly matters too.

THE PICK: STL ML (+105)

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