Week 1: Free MNF PICK!

9/11/22

By: @DawgGotPicks

9:35 PM EDT

Week 1: Free MNF PICK!

As we all know, Seattle coach Pete Carroll knows a little something about the opposing QB. 

After all, Russell Wilson played for him for a decade. 

The Seahawks, who were 12th in points allowed a year ago, will hope to find a plan to keep the Broncos, who were 23rd in scoring, at bay. 

When it comes to the offense contributing to the under hitting, QB Geno Smith takes over. That is clearly a significant drop-off from a QB of the caliber of Russell Wilson. 

Carroll, a lifelong supporter of the ground game, will adhere to his origins and keep the clock ticking.

The Pick: Under 44.



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7 Fantasy Players who could BREAK OUT going into this NFL Season

By: OutOfSightSports

9/5/22

7 Fantasy Players who could BREAK OUT going into this NFL Season

In this piece, we are going to look at seven NFL players who are in situations to break out this year and establish themselves as LEGIT fantasy threats if all goes right. Drafting a player in the later rounds who ends up being a pivotal piece of a championship team is about the best feeling there is as a fantasy football manager. This is not from best to worst, it’s just eight promising fantasy players who could break out. With that being said, let’s get to the list.

  1.  Dameon Pierce- We are going to start with the only rookie on this list, Dameon Pierce. Pierce was a 5th round pick of UF who was never really utilized right by former UF coach Dan Mullen, probably the reason he fell in the draft. With that being said, the young RB has established himself of the Texans run game with fantastic preseason outings and by outperforming vet RB Rex Burkhead in camp. Also, we know Marlon Mack was cut somewhat surprisingly. Anyways, the former Gator will probably lead this year’s draft class in touches. He is a HARD, tough, and gritty runner that fights for every inch who could be a huge threat in the red zone and a great fantasy pickup.
  2. Tua Tagovailoa- After a weird rookie campaign, the former Alabama product struggled a good bit in his 2nd season in the league. With that being said, the Dolphins have made it clear he is their guy. They have gone ALL-IN when it comes to surrounding him with talent, trading for speedster Tyreek Hill this offseason, drafting young superstar Jaylen Waddle going into Tagovailoa’s 2nd year, keeping Mike Gesicki around with a 1-year deal, and upgrading their RB unit with Chase Edmonds and Raheem Mostert this offseason. I just don’t see any chance that he doesn’t become a more productive quarterback in real life and in fantasy after being surrounded with this level of offensive talent. This also shows the trust the organization has in their QB.
  3. Irv Smith Jr- Two years ago, Smith Jr averaged nearly 13 fantasy PPG in games that fellow TE Kyle Rudolph missed during the 2020 season. With those numbers, he would have been TE5 last season. Unfortunately, he didn’t play last season as he missed the entire 2021 season with a knee injury. In his place, Tyler Conklin saw 87 targets in a role that was intended for Smith Jr. Consider adding the young TE to your squad this season if you can get him at the right value.
  4. Rashaad Penny- From Week 14 on last season, Penny led RBs in almost every stat. He was first in rushing yards, first in rushing yards over expectation, first in rushing TDs, first in 10+ yard runs, YAC and rushes over 15MPH. Not to mention, being in a run heavy offense that lost their franchise QB is most likely going to result in him getting more carries. He will also most likely be available in the lower rounds because of his durability concerns. I think that injury is the only thing that could stop Penny from breaking out this season.
  5. Kadarius Toney- The Giants started rotating Toney in their WR group in Week 4 last season, and it is safe to say it worked. In the following two games, the former Gator was targeted 22 times, recorded 16 grabs and 267 yards. (189 against the Cowboys and Trevon Diggs) An ankle injury and poor QB play derailed his productions, but he showed that he can play at the next level during that period. A breakout is coming.
  6. Rashod Bateman- As we know, Marquise Brown was traded to the Cardinals leading a ton of volume up for grabs in Baltimore. The Ravens selected Bateman in the first round of last season and might very well be the best receiver I believe Jackson has ever had. He is a monster at catching 50/50 balls and is a HUGE red-zone threat. Don’t be surprised if he gets well over 100 total targets.
  7. Gabriel Davis- Davis has shown he can be a touchdown machine, as we saw him score a whopping 4 touchdowns in the AFC Divisional round last season vs the Chiefs in a game for the ages. He already has 125 career regular season targets and has found the endzone 13 times and an addition five times on 13 targets in the postseason last year. A field-stretcher and a redzone threat, Davis has a chance to be a BIG-TIME fantasy threat in a pass-heavy offense led by an MVP caliber QB in Josh Allen.

Five SOLID Late-Round RBs to target with value: Fantasy Football 2022

By: OutOfSightSports

9/4/22

Five SOLID Late-Round RBs to target with Value: Fantasy Football 2022

In fantasy football, the majority of us can agree that the most vital position to fill while constructing a championship-winning roster is the running back position. With injuries and the diminishing shelf-lives of premier running backs shortening, it is always a smart idea to have competent back-ups who can put points on the board if your main bell-cow RB is out. In this article, we’ll look at five running backs that are often available in fantasy football drafts in Round 10 or after. This season, each back on this list is going to see significant playing time, and will more than likely get opportunities to emerge into RB1s.

Disclaimer: This list is in no order

Darrell Henderson, Los Angeles Rams (ADP 11.4)

With Cam Akers on the IR, Henderson stepped in as the Rams’ starting RB in 2021. He had a stellar first eight games of the season, posting double-digit carries in all of them, and finding the end-zone 7-times during this stretch. The RB appeared to be one of the league’s best fantasy running backs early in 2020 and 2021, before being hampered by injuries both seasons.

The 24-year-old took only 23 offensive snaps in the final six regular-season games and didn’t play in the first three rounds of the playoffs. He returned in time for the Super Bowl though, where he was utilized as a third-down back, while fellow RB Cam Akers took a majority of his snaps during earlier downs.

The Rams appear to be comfortable with their two-back committee heading into the 2022 season. Sony Michel left in free agency for Miami, and the Rams only staked a fifth-round pick to replace him. Henderson could play on passing downs while also receiving some carries, just like the Super Bowl. When this is his job, he should only be in fantasy lineups as an emergency.

Nonetheless, Henderson should be drafted for the weeks when he does not have that role. Henderson could reclaim his starting spot for the Rams if he outperforms Akers or if Akers is injured. When healthy, Henderson is one of the most powerful handcuffs, making him a must-start if Akers spends any time as the starter.

Jamaal Williams, Detroit Lions (ADP: 13.2)

As we know, Williams spent the first four seasons of his career in Green Bay with Aaron Jones. Despite missing two games, he finished as RB35 in 2019, whereas Jones finished as RB2. Jones missed two games in 2020 and Williams capitalized, finishing in the top 10 amongst fantasy RBs both weeks.

As we all know, he signed with the Lions last offseason joining D’Andre Swift as the two main backs in D-Town. During games in which both players played and were not sidelined, their carry splits were EXACTLY 50/50. Although  Swift had more explosive runs, which led the rookie to have slightly more rushing yards, Williams was more consistent on a run-by-run basis, that led to a higher rushing grade, according to PFF.

A healthy offensive line should certainly help both backs boost their productivity. Last season, the Lions never had all five of their offensive lineman healthy and available at the same time. Only a season later, the Lions find themselves in a completely different situation up front on offense, featuring a stout line that could be one of the best in the NFL,  which will help open up holes for both players.

Williams does have some stand-alone value and potential as well, notably against weak run defenses. The better the Lions operate as a unit, the more they will be able to run the ball, which will favor Williams above Swift. If Swift ever gets injured, Williams should be the team’s clear every-down back and will be a must-start in fantasy.

Jerrick McKinnon, Kansas City Chiefs (ADP: 18.6)

McKinnon signed with Kansas City in 2021 and managed to earn one of the squad’s three RB spots. During the first month of the season, he was limited to single-digit snaps each game before Clyde Edwards-Helaire sprained his MCL. He finally started playing, but he wasn’t receiving many opportunities to touch the ball.

Once Edwards-Helaire recovered, McKinnon missed several games due to a hamstring problem that landed him on IR. After McKinnon returned, CEH sustained another injury (shoulder) and was sidelined once again.  McKinnon was then promoted to the starting lineup when backup Darrel Williams experienced a toe injury. Over three playoff games, he ran for 150 yards on 34 attempts and hauled in 14 receptions for 165 yards respectively.

McKinnon stiff-arming Jordan Poyer

Kansas City was content with Williams leaving for Arizona in free agency after McKinnon’s postseason success. The Chiefs played their starters frequently during the preseason, suggesting that McKinnon will indeed be their third-down back this season.

Kansas City is uncertain who will back up Edwards-Helaire on early downs. Isiah Pacheco, a seventh-round rookie, made headlines during the preseason playing with the first team, while new signing Ronald Jones played snaps in the final preseason game. McKinnon has so far displayed what he can do for the Chiefs in early-down situations.

If he can play on some early downs as well as third downs, he might start having performances similar to the ones he had in last year’s playoffs. Selecting running backs in high-scoring offenses featuring fluid backfields is always a wise choice. McKinnon is extremely affordable ADP wise as a result of Pacheco’s rise, but adding him to your roster later on in your draft will most likely reap some benefits.

Kenneth Gainwell, Philadelphia Eagles (ADP: 11.1)

The 23-year-old running back spent the 2021 season in Philly as part of a four-man committee, largely as a receiving back. He had at least five targets in five games, including their final two games of the season, and had one of the highest threat rates in recent memory for a rookie running back.
He had at least five targets in five games, including their final two games of the season, and had one of the highest threat rates in recent memory for a rookie running back.
Despite being a pass-catching back, he logged double-digit carries three times a season ago, two times during blowout wins when the Eagles were missing their other backs, and the other in Week 18, when the team rested its starters. This season, he could take on a prominent role in the run game.

Outside of an undrafted rookie, the Eagles have not re-signed Jordan Howard or acquired any new players to put in their backfield. Gainwell is the Eagles’ sole back under contract through 2022, so they’ll need to see what they’ve got in him prior to next season. Philadelphia also plans to pass more this season, meaning there will be more plays in which Gainwell is the likely the running back in the formation. Miles Sanders is the team’s top rusher, but he’s been one of the league’s least efficient, with the fourth-lowest PFF run grade among the 30 backs with 400 or more carries over the last three seasons — two of the three running backs with a lower grade are already out the league.

Philadelphia must undergo a change.

Gainwell is unlikely to become a full-time three-down back, but several running backs have had top-10 fantasy seasons with high target shares and averages of just less than 10 touches per game, which is certainly within Gainwell’s range of outcomes in 2022.

Khalil Herbert, Chicago Bears (ADP: 13.0)

The 2021 sixth-round draft pick was the Bears’ third back on the depth chart starting last season, but he only played nine offensive snaps mostly in garbage time over the first month, before David Montgomery landed on IR for five weeks. Herbert and Damien Williams split time in Week 5, and Williams missed Week 6 due to COVID-19, allowing Herbert a chance to impress. Herbert generated 38.2 PPR points in the two weeks following for any fantasy manager bold enough to start him. By mid-season, Montgomery had returned as the stater, but Herbert remained ahead of Williams on the depth chart and took more reps.

On a small sample size, the 5-foot-9 back looked excellent.  There is potential danger that he will regress with more playing time, but the goal of the mid-to-late rounds in fantasy drafts is to take a gamble on a player who has played well in a limited amount of time.

Herbert’s fantasy value has improved this summer, as the Bears let Williams go to the Atlanta Falcons in free agency and only allocated a sixth-round pick in addition to a waiver wire pickup that will fight for the third spot on the depth chart. The Bears hired defensive-minded head coach Matt Eberflus this offseason as well, while former Green Bay Packers quarterback coach Luke Getsy was appointed as the Bears new passing game coordinator. The Packers utilized a split backfield in Getsy’s prior time with the team, and it might not be a bad idea to implement it in Chicago. Montgomery’s 1,401 offensive snaps over the last two seasons are the second-most for a running back.

If Chicago takes this approach, Herbert may be given more rushing opportunities while Montgomery manages the passing downs, offering Herbert some fantasy value every week. If Montgomery had been injured, Herbert would be a fantasy starter yet again, with very little competition from backups.

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Pats rookie turning heads in training camp

8/5/22

By: OutOfSightSports

Pats rookie turning heads in training camp

Prior to training camp, Tyquan Thornton voiced his intention to grow into more than just a speedster. The rookie wide receiver for the New England Patriots desired to develop into a complete player at his position.

Just seven practices in, it is apparent that although he isn’t there just yet, he is heading in the right direction. Thornton has showed outstanding elusiveness, mental focus, and hands during 1-on-1s and team drills.

As a byproduct, some of the Patriots best passing plays from ended with the pigskin in his hands. Unsurprisingly, his fellow wide receivers have also been impressed by the rookies abilities on the field and his devotion to becoming a better player and an intrinsic component to the Patriots’ offense

Fellow teammate Nelson Agholor had this to say about the second-rounder,

“I see a guy that’s just working hard every day. He’s having fun, and I think I like where he is mentally. He has a growth mindset, and he practices really hard, takes great notes. I think every day, he’s just going to keep on getting better, and that’s important for him and his journey.”

The Patriots traded up in the second round of this year’s draft to select Thornton, and his exceptional speed was a major factor in that decision. The Baylor product ran a 4.28-second 40-yard dash at the Scouting Combine, which was one of the best times since testing began 35 years ago and the fastest among wide receivers present.

This speed has been on display thus far in camp. New England also utilizes Thornton on special teams, where he has numerous opportunities as a gunner with the punt coverage unit.

Fellow wide receiver Jakobi Meyers is optimistic about his future, even if he doesn’t contribute off the bat,

“He’s going to be a good football player,” Meyers said on Wednesday. “I really do enjoy watching him play. I know what it’s like now that I’ve played a couple of years to kind of just see what guys can do in the league. I feel like he’ll have great future, honestly, because he’s really talented. Just to be fast and quick and catch the ball really well, I’m excited about it.”

Agholor agreed with Meyers, noting that Thornton’s professionalism is another quality that will help him succeed in the professional ranks.

“A level of professionalism is what you need to play in this league, and I think they have a great level of professionalism, all of our young guys,” the second-year Patriot said. “For him, I think there’s a balance of just being calm and just working every day that I like about him.”

™️

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Two Elite WRs Not Participating in Training Camp

Two Elite WRs Not Participating in Training Camp

7/27/22

By: OutOfSightSports

Two Elite WRs Not Participating in Training Camp

Star NFL receivers Deebo Samuel and DK Metcalf will reportedly not participate in training camp drills due to contract disagreements, according to a tweet by ESPN’s Adam Schefter. It was earlier this week that both players showed up to training camp.

Both receivers are entering the final year of their contracts. Metcalf missed mandatory minicamp, but only received a $90K fine. Samuel reported to minicamp, but didn’t do on-field practice, opening the door to a hold-out. The two players would be fined $40K for every day if they held out. The CBA’s recent holdout crackdown includes a clause that would deduct a year of service time after just a week of absences. Samuel and Metcalf will avoid fines by attending camp but not playing.

Cam Inman of the San Jose Mercury tweeted that Samuel still conditioned on the sidelines, while the rest of the team participated in drills today. Fortunately, Samuel’s agent has met with the organization and it is quite possible a deal will be reached.

Kyle Shanahan told the media after meeting with his star receiver:
“Hopefully we can figure something out soon, but we’re in a good place today,” Via (Inman).

Samuel is destined to join the class of receivers signing $20M+ deals. Bridging the gap between Samuel’s initial asking price and the team’s best offer has helped repair relations after he requested a trade in April. Still, there is an obvious divide when it comes to how valuable both sides think Samuel is.

After holding out last offseason, Jamal Adams decision definitely helped inspire Metcalf’s hold-out this year. Adams ultimately succeeded holding out last summer, as he returned to the Seahawks after signing a record-setting contract. Metcalf won’t shatter the market, but he should land a lucrative multiyear contract. Metcalf’s decision to skip minicamp surprised some within the organization as well, but he and Seahawks HC Pete Carroll are optimistic they will find a deal that satisfies both parties. This process will not be completed early in camp. As a matter of fact, a report just last month said a Metcalf deal “hardly seemed like a slam dunk”

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