By: @DawgHasPicks
9/26/22
College Football Week 3: 5 Free Picks with VALUE
As we get into Week 3 of the college football season, we begin to really see the identity, characters and ceilings of a lot of these collegiate teams. In this article, we are going to look at five picks this Saturday that are due to cash out. With that being said, lets get to the picks:
I anticipate a sportsmanlike three-hour affair between Kirby Smart and his former assistant Shane Beamer in this matchup, since Georgia’s advantages on both sides of the ball offer a blatantly obvious lopsided game between two SEC East foes. South Carolina’s offensive line struggled to generate an advantage against Georgia State and Arkansas, so I believe they will suffer against the Bulldogs’ ferocious defense, and given that advantage, I could see Kirby Smart using this matchup to get good reps in for the Georgia rushing game. A fast-paced second half wherein Georgia has a sizable lead should hold us under the total.
THE PICK: U55
2. CFB | TROY @ APP. ST. | 09/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
Jon Sumrall, the Troy Trojans’ first-year coach, is a former Troy assistant under Neal Brown who returned to the program after working on the defensive staff at Kentucky. The Trojans are motivated to achieve the same thing that the Wildcats did by building a strong defense. They played well against Ole Miss in Week 1 before blowing away Alabama A&M last week. Appalachian State has dominated this series with four straight blowout victories, but Saturday could very well end up being a Mountaineer disappointment after their huge upset of Texas A&M last weekend. Expect a tenacious Troy squad to fight to the nail in this game.
THE PICK: Troy +13.5
3. CFB | KANSAS @ HOUSTON | 09/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
Early indications indicate that Lance Leipold may be the appropriate coach to revive the dead Jayhawks program. They are coming off a headline-grabbing 55-42 triumph over West Virginia, when they erased a 14-point deficit in the second half to run away with the W. Houston, on the other hand, rallied from a 14-point disadvantage only to fall short in overtime against Texas Tech. Although the Jayhawks should fight, a letdown is likely, and we’re getting very good value on a number that has dropped from -10. Saturday is a big motivational day for Houston as well.
THE PICK: HOUSTON -8.5
4. CFB | OLE MISS @ GEORGIA TECH | 09/17 | 3:30 PM EDT
The Rebels will have quarterbacks Jaxon Dart and Luke Altmyer ready on The Flats, and the Rebels’ 6.64 yards per play average in the midst of an early-season quarterback duel is more than enough to consider this one a blowout waiting to happen. With 31 plays of 10 yards or more allowed, the Yellow Jackets are ranked 11th in the ACC in allowing plays that long. Based on how Lane Kiffin’s offense works, that’s highly concerning.
THE PICK: MISS -17
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