Two GREAT NFL Week 1 Picks you should trail

By: @OOSSports

9/11/22

Two GREAT NFL Week 1 Picks you should trail

Ravens @ Jets | 09/11 | 1:00 PM EDT

Preview & Pick:

Caesars just dropped the spread below 7 Friday, so I’ll take advantage of the new number while it’s still around. Since Lamar Jackson and the team weren’t able to reach an agreement concerning an extension of his contract, I sense Jackson will play with a chip on his shoulder. The Jets have a number of important injury problems on the offensive line, and it has been ruled that Duane Brown will not play today. Of course, the Jets will start the aging and slow Joe Flacco. At the beginning of August, Mekhi Becton went down with a knee injury that ended his season.  The Jets’ record against the spread in their previous 12 September games is a horrific 1-11.  Since John Harbaugh gets his team ready for the season by genuinely caring about winning in the preseason, I am optimistic every year that the Ravens will always get off to a fast start annually. 

The Pick: Take the Ravens -6.5 (-110)

Saints @ Falcons | 09/11 | 1:00 PM EDT

Preview & Pick:

Since 2014, NFL Divisional opponents that have clashed in Week 1 have seen the underdog cover in 76% of those games. That trend has continued since that day. We have six of those games this weekend to kick off the season as a matter of fact, including this one. With that being said, if you want to cheer for an underdog, look elsewhere.  The Saints have beat the Dirty Birds four straight times, good for the franchise record. In fact, they haven’t lost in the “A” since 2017.

The Falcons had a record of 0-7 against the spread at home last season. As a matter of fact, the only “home game” they  covered last season was against the New York Je s last season, and that was in London. The one thing the Falcons did well last year was preventing sacks, but a large part of that was thanks to Matt Ryan evading pass-rushers himself, who is obviously no longer with the team. Unfortunately for him, the Saints defensive front specializes in just that, and he’ll have to take those sacks. It seems improbable Mariota will be able to match up with the production that Jameis Winston will put up against this defense. 

THE PICK: Take the Saints -5.5 (-110)

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